Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 0.165426 0.186299 0.208213 0.232880 0.259820 0.288293 0.320607
2025-03-16 0.135894 0.163829 0.194704 0.231176 0.272889 0.318915 0.373339
2025-03-23 0.118330 0.151290 0.189349 0.236146 0.291718 0.355174 0.432658
2025-03-30 0.102060 0.137852 0.180885 0.235755 0.303122 0.382382 0.481872
2025-04-06 0.088983 0.126530 0.173396 0.235156 0.313277 0.407640 0.528958
2025-04-13 0.078157 0.116697 0.166525 0.234218 0.322197 0.431007 0.573901
2025-04-20 0.070615 0.110278 0.163224 0.237145 0.335545 0.459778 0.625946
2025-04-27 0.065427 0.106459 0.162844 0.243508 0.353178 0.494154 0.685732
2025-05-04 0.059231 0.100511 0.158927 0.244560 0.363444 0.518977 0.733619
2025-05-11 0.055273 0.097417 0.158644 0.250352 0.380015 0.552256 0.793119
2025-05-18 0.051847 0.094759 0.158680 0.256380 0.396881 0.586164 0.854089
2025-05-25 0.046722 0.088913 0.153515 0.254459 0.402311 0.604520 0.894455
2025-06-01 0.042533 0.084281 0.149975 0.254869 0.411261 0.628270 0.943282
2025-06-08 0.038380 0.079283 0.145463 0.253461 0.417359 0.648065 0.987037
2025-06-15 0.036132 0.077339 0.145603 0.259050 0.433767 0.682622 1.051898
2025-06-22 0.032938 0.073377 0.142151 0.258764 0.441269 0.704563 1.099463
2025-06-29 0.030016 0.069598 0.138696 0.258195 0.448163 0.725635 1.146097
2025-07-06 0.027317 0.065947 0.135165 0.257227 0.454264 0.745543 1.191328
2025-07-13 0.025531 0.063894 0.134233 0.260404 0.466794 0.775077 1.250917
2025-07-20 0.024444 0.063135 0.135515 0.267271 0.485264 0.813766 1.324490
2025-07-27 0.022625 0.060661 0.133511 0.268412 0.494560 0.838828 1.378502
2025-08-03 0.021632 0.059845 0.134481 0.274653 0.512180 0.876767 1.452136
2025-08-10 0.020734 0.059142 0.135596 0.281143 0.530328 0.915826 1.528070